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How Our Club Soccer Projections Work

Today we’re publishing FiveThirtyEight’s club soccer predictions interactive, which includes team ratings, odds for upcoming matches and forecasts for the top five European domestic soccer leagues — the Premier League (England), La Liga (Spain), Bundesliga (Germany), Serie A (Italy) and Ligue 1 (France) — along with the UEFA Champions League, Europe’s premier club competition. Our […]

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How Our Women’s World Cup Model Works

Check out FiveThirtyEight’s Women’s World Cup predictions. Women’s sports don’t have the same rich data that men’s sports do. So what do you do if you want to forecast the Women’s World Cup? You gather up everything you can get. We put together a database of about 8,000 international women’s soccer matches since 1971 — […]

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How Our Women’s World Cup Model Works

Check out FiveThirtyEight’s Women’s World Cup predictions. Women’s sports don’t have the same rich data that men’s sports do. So what do you do if you want to forecast the Women’s World Cup? You gather up everything you can get. We put together a database of about 8,000 international women’s soccer matches since 1971 — […]

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How We Calculate NBA Elo Ratings

Hopefully if you’re reading this, you’ve had a chance to explore our new interactive graphic, “The Complete History Of The NBA,” which tracks each NBA and ABA franchise’s performance through every game of its history. So now for the exciting part: 2,000 words about autocorrelation and the Akron Firestone Non-Skids. Actually, this won’t be too […]

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How We Calculate NBA Elo Ratings

Hopefully if you’re reading this, you’ve had a chance to explore our new interactive graphic, “The Complete History Of The NBA,” which tracks each NBA and ABA franchise’s performance through every game of its history. So now for the exciting part: 2,000 words about autocorrelation and the Akron Firestone Non-Skids. Actually, this won’t be too […]

Continue reading