Sports – FiveThirtyEight — MLB Playoffs RSS



The Year Of The Cubs

OK, we’ve been a little fixated on the Chicago Cubs this year. We trolled them when they dominated the hot stove (sorry!); wondered what might possibly keep them from being baseball’s best team (how silly was that?); marveled at their hot start to the season, then compared them with the 1927 Yankees and then compared […]

Continue reading



The Biggest Hits In Division Series History

When Conor Gillaspie, the third baseman for the San Francisco Giants, came to the plate against Aroldis Chapman of the Chicago Cubs in the eighth inning of Monday night’s contest between the two clubs, his team had a 40 percent chance to win the game and thereby delay — for at least a day — […]

Continue reading



Buck Showalter Waited Too Long For A Lead That Never Came

The Baltimore Orioles are headed for an early offseason after losing the American League wild card game in Toronto on Tuesday night, and baseball Twitter had a field day over one of the biggest reasons why: For saleZach BrittonNever used. — Molly Knight (@molly_knight) October 5, 2016 "You have to save Britton for a save […]

Continue reading



Buck Showalter Waited Too Long For A Lead That Never Came

The Baltimore Orioles are headed for an early offseason after losing the American League wild card game in Toronto on Tuesday night, and baseball Twitter had a field day over one of the biggest reasons why: For saleZach BrittonNever used. — Molly Knight (@molly_knight) October 5, 2016 "You have to save Britton for a save […]

Continue reading



There’s A 10 Percent Chance Of A Three-Way MLB Wild-Card Tie

After all three teams lost Wednesday, the New York Mets, St. Louis Cardinals and San Francisco Giants remain locked in a three-way tie for the National League’s two wild-card slots. Our prediction model, which is based on a simulation that uses each team’s Elo rating, gives New York a 75 percent chance of grabbing at […]

Continue reading