sara.ziegler (Sara Ziegler, sports editor): And just like that, we’ve got ourselves a Super Bowl. It would have been hard for the conference championship games to match the chaos of the first two rounds of playoff action — though about 10 minutes into the Kansas City-Tennessee game, I thought the Titans might actually take out […]
Before the season began, FiveThirtyEight’s NFL predictions gave the New England Patriots a 14 percent chance of winning the Super Bowl, while the Los Angeles Rams had just a 3 percent chance. Now, each is on the cusp of the championship. In the video above, Neil Paine walks us down the winding paths these two […]
Can you outsmart our forecasts? Make your picks using the sliders below. Our NFL forecasts are based on a simple algorithm called Elo ratings, which use only a few pieces of information to rate each team and project each game. But beware: We’re asking you to make a probabilistic forecast for each matchup — and […]