Sep 08, 2017
Can you outsmart our forecasts? Make your picks using the sliders below. Our NFL forecasts are based on a simple algorithm called Elo ratings, which use only a few pieces of information to rate each team and project each game. But beware: We’re asking you to make a probabilistic forecast for each matchup — and […]
Continue reading
Sep 07, 2017
PLAYOFF CHANCES ELO TEAM MAKE PLAYOFFS WIN DIVISION WIN SUPER BOWL New England84%72%18% Atlanta65%47%9% Kansas City63%46%8% Pittsburgh68%52%7% Green Bay63%50%7% Seattle63%49%6% Dallas50%34%5% Denver44%27%4% Arizona55%40%4% N.Y. Giants41%25%3% Oakland35%20%2% Carolina39%22%3% Cincinnati44%26%2% Indianapolis50%38%3% Philadelphia35%21%2% Miami29%12%2% Tampa Bay27%14%2% Washington32%19%2% Houston41%30%2% Detroit33%21%2% New Orleans29%16%2% Minnesota37%24%2% Baltimore37%20%2% Buffalo22%9%1% Tennessee32%22%1% N.Y. Jets17%7%<1% L.A. Chargers15%7%<1% L.A. Rams13%7%<1% Chicago9%5%<1% Jacksonville14%9%<1% San Francisco8%4%<1% Cleveland
Continue reading
Sep 07, 2017
PLAYOFF CHANCES ELO TEAM MAKE PLAYOFFS WIN DIVISION WIN SUPER BOWL New England84%72%18% Atlanta65%47%9% Kansas City63%46%8% Pittsburgh68%52%7% Green Bay63%50%7% Seattle63%49%6% Dallas50%34%5% Denver44%27%4% Arizona55%40%4% N.Y. Giants41%25%3% Oakland35%20%2% Carolina39%22%3% Cincinnati44%26%2% Indianapolis50%38%3% Philadelphia35%21%2% Miami29%12%2% Tampa Bay27%14%2% Washington32%19%2% Houston41%30%2% Detroit33%21%2% New Orleans29%16%2% Minnesota37%24%2% Baltimore37%20%2% Buffalo22%9%1% Tennessee32%22%1% N.Y. Jets17%7%<1% L.A. Chargers15%7%<1% L.A. Rams13%7%<1% Chicago9%5%<1% Jacksonville14%9%<1% San Francisco8%4%<1% Cleveland
Continue reading
