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Did Kris Jenkins’s Game-Winning Shot Have Anything To Do With Analytics?

Welcome to the latest episode of Hot Takedown, FiveThirtyEight’s sports podcast. On this week’s show (April 5, 2016), we marvel at Villanova’s buzzer beater in the final of the men’s NCAA tournament and ask whether the narrative is more telling than the numbers in moments like those. We discuss the USWNT’s wage-discrimination case with FiveThirtyEight’s […]

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How Exciting Was The Final Four?

And that’s the men’s tournament! After 67 games, the 2016 men’s NCAA Tournament has drawn to a close. In this final video, we take a look at how Villanova-UNC rated on the excitement index (very highly!) and decide which Final Four game was more boring. Plus, we break down how Villanova powered its way to […]

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How Exciting Was The Final Four?

And that’s the men’s tournament! After 67 games, the 2016 men’s NCAA Tournament has drawn to a close. In this final video, we take a look at how Villanova-UNC rated on the excitement index (very highly!) and decide which Final Four game was more boring. Plus, we break down how Villanova powered its way to […]

Continue reading



Villanova Had The Most Impressive Tournament Win In More Than 53 Years

Ahead of Saturday’s Final Four matchup between Villanova and Oklahoma, our prediction model had the Wildcats only slightly favored, with a 54 percent chance of winning, and nearly a quarter of the game was as tight as that probability suggests. When Oklahoma led 17-16 after eight minutes, our in-game win probabilities listed the odds as […]

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Villanova Had The Most Impressive Tournament Win In More Than 53 Years

Ahead of Saturday’s Final Four matchup between Villanova and Oklahoma, our prediction model had the Wildcats only slightly favored, with a 54 percent chance of winning, and nearly a quarter of the game was as tight as that probability suggests. When Oklahoma led 17-16 after eight minutes, our in-game win probabilities listed the odds as […]

Continue reading