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Join Hot Takedown’s March Madness Pool!

Welcome to the latest episode of Hot Takedown, FiveThirtyEight’s sports podcast. On this week’s show (March 15, 2016), we discuss all things March Madness. Neil Paine explains why he has a feeling about Villanova on the men’s side. Kate Fagan tells us why no team has a hope of beating the mighty UConn Huskies on […]

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Join Hot Takedown’s March Madness Pool!

Welcome to the latest episode of Hot Takedown, FiveThirtyEight’s sports podcast. On this week’s show (March 15, 2016), we discuss all things March Madness. Neil Paine explains why he has a feeling about Villanova on the men’s side. Kate Fagan tells us why no team has a hope of beating the mighty UConn Huskies on […]

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Villanova’s Loss Is Kentucky’s (And Virginia’s) Gain

Two games into Kentucky’s NCAA tournament, the Wildcats are right back where they started: with a 41 percent chance to finish the season as undefeated champions, according to our March Madness predictions. Neither of Kentucky’s wins so far particularly helped its chances; each was expected. Instead, the big event happened on Saturday night in Pittsburgh, […]

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Villanova’s Loss Is Kentucky’s (And Virginia’s) Gain

Two games into Kentucky’s NCAA tournament, the Wildcats are right back where they started: with a 41 percent chance to finish the season as undefeated champions, according to our March Madness predictions. Neither of Kentucky’s wins so far particularly helped its chances; each was expected. Instead, the big event happened on Saturday night in Pittsburgh, […]

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March Madness Crib Notes For Saturday’s Games

The teams that play on Saturday are the survivors of the wild opening day of this year’s NCAA men’s tournament. No matter how many harmonic means, linear regressions and bootstrapped standard errors we applied to the data, we couldn’t find a way to make it say Saturday’s games would be as thrilling as Thursday’s were. […]

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