Joe Manchin has plenty of opponents in West Virginia. Soon he’ll learn who the main one is. On Tuesday, a GOP primary will determine which Republican Senate candidate will get to call Manchin, the Democratic incumbent, a Washington, D.C., sellout for the next six months. In a state that President Trump won with 68 percent […]
You hear it all the time: The 2018 Senate map is bad, even “brutal,” for Democrats. Of the 35 seats on the ballot this cycle, 26 are held by senators who caucus with the Democrats, and just nine are held by Republicans. Democrats must flip two of those nine — without losing any seats of […]
Sen. Joe Manchin of West Virginia is one of 10 Democrats defending a Senate seat in a state President Trump won in 2016. The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast team sizes up the Republicans hoping to challenge him this fall and debates how worried he should be. The crew also engages some hypotheticals in a new round […]
Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly polling roundup. Poll of the week Whoever wins the Democratic primary for governor in Georgia will be an underdog in the general election. Georgia isn’t as red as you might think — Hillary Clinton lost there by only 5 percentage points in 2016. But it’s still a red state. Whether […]
One might describe Arizona’s 8th Congressional District as … nondescript. Covering portions of Phoenix’s northern and western suburbs, including the Arizona Cardinals’ home stadium, the district isn’t all that geographically or demographically distinct, containing a largely older, largely white population of professionals and retirees. The area has traditionally been extremely Republican, having voted for John […]