Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s weekly politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. micah (Micah Cohen, politics editor): OK, we have a special politics chat team gathered today to talk about this: When do states flip? From red to blue, or blue to red, or whatever. The impetus for this question is a Quinnipiac poll […]
Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly polling roundup. Poll of the week The electorate in 2020 is likely to be similar to 2016’s. This should worry people in both parties — for different reasons, of course. Our poll of the week is not technically one poll, but an in-depth study that looks at the changing demographics […]
Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s weekly politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. micah (Micah Cohen, politics editor): Here’s my plan, if it works for everyone: The overarching question will be “Is James Comey’s book/publicity tour helping or hurting the case against President Trump?” You can interpret “the case” however you want, but I mostly […]
It’s old news by now that Democratic candidates have done unusually well in Trump-era elections so far, suggesting that the 2018 midterms will be a good cycle for the party. So why keep writing about them? Well, for one thing, we’re inveterate psephology addicts — but also, the more special elections that occur, the more […]
In a special episode of FiveThirtyEight’s politics podcast, Jody Avirgan and Clare Malone are joined by Daniel Kreiss of the University of North Carolina-Chapel Hill. Kreiss studies how political campaigns use data, and he was the lead guest on our 2016 series on the history of political data. The three of them untangle the many […]