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Butler’s Back-to-Back Championship Appearances a 7,500-to-1 Longshot

Last week, we established that Virginia Commonwealth had only about 1-in-820 odds of winning five consecutive games and reaching the Final Four. Although V.C.U.’s run ended with a loss to Butler in Houston on Saturday, the feat ranks right among anything else accomplished over the course of a single N.C.A.A. tournament; it was about as unlikely as Villanova winning the national title, as a No. 8 seed, in 1985. But what about over the course of two tournaments? What are the odds that Butler would have reached the championship game two years in a row?

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In Tournament of Upsets, V.C.U. Has Overcome Longest Odds

Somehow, my N.C.A.A. tournament bracket still ranks in the 76th percentile nationwide, a result which it owes to having performed very strongly in the first couple of rounds. It’s all downhill from here, however, since the bracket had all four No. 1 seeds advancing to the Final Four in Houston — something that, after Kansas’ […]

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