Before the 2015 season started last week, the Boston Red Sox were projected by both Fangraphs and Baseball Prospectus to win nearly 90 games this season, with the best expected record in the American League East according to each method. At a glance, that wasn’t incredibly notable. After all, Boston had won 90 or more […]
On opening day, every team has playoff dreams. Early on, the potential of the season outweighs our knowledge of each team’s quality. While our best predictions are modestly useful, they can’t tell us which team is destined for greatness with much certainty or which early-season trends to trust or disregard. That makes it tough for […]
On opening day, every team has playoff dreams. Early on, the potential of the season outweighs our knowledge of each team’s quality. While our best predictions are modestly useful, they can’t tell us which team is destined for greatness with much certainty or which early-season trends to trust or disregard. That makes it tough for […]
Bonus Podcast: Nate Silver Talks with Steve Kettmann This conversation will also air in this week’s episode of “Hot Takedown” — FiveThirtyEight’s new sports podcast. The New York Times on Wednesday published an op-ed with the headline “Don’t Let Statistics Ruin Baseball.” Some of the baseball nuts at FiveThirtyEight staff couldn’t contain themselves after reading […]
Bonus Podcast: Nate Silver Talks with Steve Kettmann This conversation will also air in this week’s episode of “Hot Takedown” — FiveThirtyEight’s new sports podcast. Subscribe on iTunes here. The New York Times on Wednesday published an op-ed with the headline “Don’t Let Statistics Ruin Baseball.” Some of the baseball nuts at FiveThirtyEight staff couldn’t […]