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Where Last Weekend Ranks Among College Football’s Craziest

There’s one word to describe Week 6 of the 2014 college football season: chaos. Three of the top four teams in the Associated Press’s Top 25 poll fell this past weekend (including unranked Arizona’s upset of No. 2 Oregon on Thursday night). And for the first time ever, five of the AP’s top eight lost […]

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Introducing NFL Elo Ratings

If you followed FiveThirtyEight’s coverage during the World Cup, you know that we’re big fans of the World Football Elo Ratings. They’re based on a relatively simple system developed by the physicist Arpad Elo to rate chess players. But they can be adapted fairly easily for other head-to-head competitions from baseball to backgammon. We thought […]

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Introducing NFL Elo Ratings

If you followed FiveThirtyEight’s coverage during the World Cup, you know that we’re big fans of the World Football Elo Ratings. They’re based on a relatively simple system developed by the physicist Arpad Elo to rate chess players. But they can be adapted fairly easily for other head-to-head competitions from baseball to backgammon. We thought […]

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Has the U.S. Men’s National Team Plateaued?

For the United States, almost every recent World Cup match has been billed as the most important game in the history of the men’s national team. Its knockout-stage match against Belgium on Tuesday isn’t receiving quite as much hype. But a win would advance the U.S. to the World Cup quarterfinals for a Saturday afternoon match against Argentina or Switzerland. […]

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Has the U.S. Men’s National Team Plateaued?

For the United States, almost every recent World Cup match has been billed as the most important game in the history of the men’s national team. Its knockout-stage match against Belgium on Tuesday isn’t receiving quite as much hype. But a win would advance the U.S. to the World Cup quarterfinals for a Saturday afternoon match against Argentina or Switzerland. […]

Continue reading