Since Ken Pomeroy began releasing his team ratings in 2004, his site has become the go-to source for advanced metrics in men’s college basketball. It has helped win bracket pools for countless people — myself included — and firmly established the value of efficiency and tempo-free statistics in the minds of pundits and coaches alike. […]
UPDATE (6:30 p.m. March 18): We’ve updated this post to add information about the excitement index. Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s forecasts of the men’s and women’s NCAA basketball tournaments. We’ve been issuing probabilistic March Madness forecasts in some form since 2011, when FiveThirtyEight was just a couple of us writing for The New York Times. While […]
UPDATE (6:30 p.m. March 18): We’ve updated this post to add information about the excitement index. Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s forecasts of the men’s and women’s NCAA basketball tournaments. We’ve been issuing probabilistic March Madness forecasts in some form since 2011, when FiveThirtyEight was just a couple of us writing for The New York Times. While […]
FiveThirtyEight has been publishing forecasts of the men’s NCAA basketball tournament since 2011, when we were at The New York Times. Every year, readers asked us why we weren’t forecasting the women’s tournament, too. Wait till next year, we always said. But we got a little tired of that. So this year, we have March […]
FiveThirtyEight has been publishing forecasts of the men’s NCAA basketball tournament since 2011, when we were at The New York Times. Every year, readers asked us why we weren’t forecasting the women’s tournament, too. Wait till next year, we always said. But we got a little tired of that. So this year, we have March […]
