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NFL Elo Ratings Are Back!

UPDATE (Sept. 7, 2016; 12 p.m.): Our 2016 NFL Elo predictions follow the same methodology as our predictions from last year. Check out the article below for more details. A good deal of FiveThirtyEight’s NFL coverage last season used Elo ratings, a simple system that estimates each team’s skill level using only the final scores […]

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NFL Elo Ratings Are Back!

UPDATE (Sept. 7, 2016; 12 p.m.): Our 2016 NFL Elo predictions follow the same methodology as our predictions from last year. Check out the article below for more details. A good deal of FiveThirtyEight’s NFL coverage last season used Elo ratings, a simple system that estimates each team’s skill level using only the final scores […]

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2015 NFL Preview: Tom Brady, Tom Brady, Tom Brady (And The Rest Of The AFC East)

In preparation for the 2015 NFL season, FiveThirtyEight is running a series of eight division previews, each highlighting the numbers that may influence a team’s performance (including projections and rankings based on ESPN’s preseason Football Power Index). Here’s what’s happening in the AFC East. New England Patriots 2014 Record: 12-4 | 2015 Projected Wins: 10.1 […]

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