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NFL Week 9 Elo Ratings And Playoff Odds

Unlike the previous week, when three of the top five teams in our Elo ratings lost, Week 8 of the NFL season was a good time for the elite. The No. 4 San Francisco 49ers were idle, but the top 3 teams in Elo won, headlined by the Denver Broncos beating the San Diego Chargers […]

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NFL Week 8 Playoff Implications: If The Seahawks Lose, The NFC Gains

NFL Playoff Implications, our weekly guide to what games matter, and whom they matter to, returns for Week 8 of the NFL season. For an explanation of the methodology, see here. The rankings behind these probabilities can be found here, at the co-author’s blog. UPDATE (Oct. 24, 2:44 p.m.): The interactive tables above have been […]

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NFL Week 8 Playoff Implications: If The Seahawks Lose, The NFC Gains

NFL Playoff Implications, our weekly guide to what games matter, and whom they matter to, returns for Week 8 of the NFL season. For an explanation of the methodology, see here. The rankings behind these probabilities can be found here, at the co-author’s blog.   UPDATE (Oct. 24, 2:44 p.m.): The interactive tables above have […]

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2014 NFL Preview: Can Cam Newton Overtake Rob Ryan In The NFC South?

FiveThirtyEight is running a series of eight NFL previews, one division at a time, to highlight the numbers that may influence each team’s season. America’s favorite weekly soap opera is about to begin; get prepped. New Orleans Saints Expected wins (using implied power ratings from Las Vegas point spreads): 8.9 Playoff probability: 42 percent (35 […]

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2014 NFL Preview: Can Cam Newton Overtake Rob Ryan In The NFC South?

FiveThirtyEight is running a series of eight NFL previews, one division at a time, to highlight the numbers that may influence each team’s season. America’s favorite weekly soap opera is about to begin; get prepped. New Orleans Saints Expected wins (using implied power ratings from Las Vegas point spreads): 8.9 Playoff probability: 42 percent (35 […]

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