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After Wild-Card Weekend, There Is No Super Bowl Favorite

Last year, we went into the playoffs with a pretty good idea of the Super Bowl favorites. This year, not so much. According to our Elo ratings, no team entered the 2015-16 postseason with better than a 20 percent shot at the Lombardi Trophy. (As a point of historical comparison, Elo’s No. 1 regular-season team […]

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Buck Showalter Waited Too Long For A Lead That Never Came

The Baltimore Orioles are headed for an early offseason after losing the American League wild card game in Toronto on Tuesday night, and baseball Twitter had a field day over one of the biggest reasons why: For saleZach BrittonNever used. — Molly Knight (@molly_knight) October 5, 2016 "You have to save Britton for a save […]

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These Are The Best Wild-Card Road Teams In Modern History

Since the NFL postseason expanded to 12 teams in 1990, home teams have won 65 percent of the time on wild-card weekend — an even better rate than the league’s 59 percent home field advantage in the regular season. For teams that can’t lock down a bye week, playing at home has traditionally been a […]

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These Are The Best Wild-Card Road Teams In Modern History

Since the NFL postseason expanded to 12 teams in 1990, home teams have won 65 percent of the time on wild-card weekend — an even better rate than the league’s 59 percent home field advantage in the regular season. For teams that can’t lock down a bye week, playing at home has traditionally been a […]

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Chip Kelly’s Problem Wasn’t The Hurry-Up — It Was Everything Else

Here at FiveThirtyEight, we’ve watched Chip Kelly’s 2015 campaign as Philadelphia Eagles head coach/general manager with a combination of fascination and horror. His offseason roster-shuffling was spellbinding; the season itself, not so much. And on Tuesday night, it all came to a screeching halt with the news that Kelly had been fired in the wake […]

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