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The NFL Got Weird All Of A Sudden

If you thought you had a handle on the 2019 NFL season through its first three weeks, well … Week 4 happened. The Bucs dropped 55 on the defending NFC champion Rams; the Panthers, Raiders, Browns and Titans all scored road upsets; the Lions even came close to beating Patrick Mahomes and the mighty Chiefs. […]

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If Vegas Predicts Your NFL Team For Six Wins, You May Be In Luck

Every year, we look back on preseason win totals produced by forecasters and betting markets and chuckle at some of the more egregious misses. Last season, the Chicago Bears were initially forecast for seven wins by Las Vegas, then traded for Khalil Mack and somehow won 12. The Green Bay Packers’s predicted win total was […]

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Which Picks Did NFL Mock Drafts Get Most Wrong?

With the first round of the NFL draft complete, it appears that the wisdom of the crowds wasn’t particularly wise. The first three picks went relatively as expected, but the draft went off script with the Oakland Raiders’ pick at No. 4 overall: defensive end Clelin Ferrell of Clemson — a player who mock drafters […]

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Uh, Did The Selection Committee Actually Get It Right?

Welcome to the return of Hot Takedown, FiveThirtyEight’s sports podcast! On today’s episode (March 19, 2019), we discuss Mike Trout’s deal before we jump into March Madness. It looks like conference tournament wins didn’t help out with bracket seeding for a few key men’s teams, and Jay Williams of ESPN’s “First Take” makes the case […]

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Can Derek Carr And The Raiders Make The Most Of Antonio Brown?

After reports late last week that Antonio Brown was heading to the Buffalo Bills, the Pittsburgh Steelers will instead reportedly trade their star receiver to the Oakland Raiders for a third- and a fifth-round pick in the 2019 draft. When the deal is finalized on Wednesday, Brown will have a restructured contract from the Raiders […]

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