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The State Of Senate Democrats In Trumpland Is …

Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly polling roundup. Poll of the week Democratic prospects to win the House in 2018 look strong, in part because many incumbent House Republicans are in liberal-leaning states like California and New York. But the Senate has always been harder for Democrats; 10 of the party’s incumbent senators are up for […]

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Republicans Are Coming Home To Trump

Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly polling roundup. Poll of the Week Gallup’s most recent weekly survey, conducted from Feb. 5 to 11, showed President Trump’s job approval rating among self-identified Republicans at 86 percent. It was the third straight week that his rating was above 85 percent — an improvement compared with 2017. Trump’s support […]

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The 2018 Gubernatorial Map Favors Democrats

Strike up a conversation about the 2018 election at your typical politics-themed cocktail party, and you’ll find the discussion decidedly Washington-centric. “Can Democrats win the House?” everyone asks breathlessly. “Will Republicans lose the Senate?” Those are both important questions. But one equally consequential electoral arena has mostly flown under the radar: governors races. Indeed, Democrats’ […]

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Politics Podcast: Which Version Of Trump’s Presidency Is Happening?

On the eve of President Trump’s first official State of the Union address, the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast checks in on how his administration is doing, and which of the 14 versions of Trump’s presidency that Nate outlined about a year ago look like they could still happen. The team also previews Trump’s speech — do […]

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