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2014 NFL Preview: The Top-Heavy NFC West

Editor’s Note: FiveThirtyEight is running a series of eight NFL previews, one division at a time, to highlight the numbers that may influence each team’s season. America’s favorite weekly soap opera is about to begin; get prepped. Seattle Seahawks Expected wins (Using implied power ratings from Las Vegas point spreads): 10.0 Playoff probability: 64 percent […]

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It May Not Matter How Much Young Talent NFL Teams Have

The St. Louis Rams, Buffalo Bills and Minnesota Vikings combined to go 18-29-1 last season. This season, those three teams rank highest in Football Outsiders’ annual ranking of franchises according to the amount of under-age-25 talent on hand.  Should fans of those teams start planning for the Super Bowl in a few years? Is there evidence that teams ranked highly in such “young […]

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It May Not Matter How Much Young Talent NFL Teams Have

The St. Louis Rams, Buffalo Bills and Minnesota Vikings combined to go 18-29-1 last season. This season, those three teams rank highest in Football Outsiders’ annual ranking of franchises according to the amount of under-age-25 talent on hand.  Should fans of those teams start planning for the Super Bowl in a few years? Is there evidence that teams ranked highly in such “young […]

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Quick Thoughts on Michael Sam to the Rams

I wrote this week that Michael Sam, the Missouri defensive end who came out as gay in February, wasn’t certain to be picked in the NFL draft. Of those players at his position who had been rated as sixth-round picks before the draft — as Sam was — slightly less than 50 percent were chosen […]

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Quick Thoughts on Michael Sam to the Rams

I wrote this week that Michael Sam, the Missouri defensive end who came out as gay in February, wasn’t certain to be picked in the NFL draft. Of those players at his position who had been rated as sixth-round picks before the draft — as Sam was — slightly less than 50 percent were chosen […]

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