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How We’re Forecasting The 2016 U.S. Open
We’re forecasting the U.S. Open using a modified version of Elo, a tool that was originally developed for chess but that FiveThirtyEight often uses to generate power ratings and make predictions in sports that consist of head-to-head matches between individuals or teams. Elo is particularly well-suited for evaluating tennis players, and we’ve used it before […]
How We’re Forecasting The 2016 U.S. Open
We’re forecasting the U.S. Open using a modified version of Elo, a tool that was originally developed for chess but that FiveThirtyEight often uses to generate power ratings and make predictions in sports that consist of head-to-head matches between individuals or teams. Elo is particularly well-suited for evaluating tennis players, and we’ve used it before […]
The Ageless Dominance Of Serena Williams And Novak Djokovic
This article also appears in ESPN The Magazine’s September 5 issue. Serena Williams and Novak Djokovic just keep getting better with age. Upsets in Rio aside, both are poised to dominate their younger competition at the U.S. Open, which starts Aug. 29. With Serena and Venus Williams still so prominent, it can feel like little […]
The Ageless Dominance Of Serena Williams And Novak Djokovic
This article also appears in ESPN The Magazine’s September 5 issue. Serena Williams and Novak Djokovic just keep getting better with age. Upsets in Rio aside, both are poised to dominate their younger competition at the U.S. Open, which starts Aug. 29. With Serena and Venus Williams still so prominent, it can feel like little […]