Sports – FiveThirtyEight — Upsets RSS



Less Madness, More Chalk

The first two days of March Madness came in like a lion and went out like a lamb. On Thursday, two of the first three games in the men’s tournament featured major upsets, with No. 14 seeds UAB and Georgia State defeating No. 3 seeds Iowa State and Baylor. Those games were enough to ruin […]

Continue reading



Less Madness, More Chalk

The first two days of March Madness came in like a lion and went out like a lamb. On Thursday, two of the first three games in the men’s tournament featured major upsets, with No. 14 seeds UAB and Georgia State defeating No. 3 seeds Iowa State and Baylor. Those games were enough to ruin […]

Continue reading



Don’t Expect A No. 16 Seed To Win In The Women’s Tournament Ever Again

Looking back over the history of stunning first-round knockouts in the NCAA basketball tournaments, one stands out: In the 1998 women’s tournament, the top-seeded Stanford Cardinal fell to the slightly brighter-shaded but 16th-seeded Harvard Crimson. Now, 17 years later, that’s still the only 16 vs. 1 upset in the history of March Madness. That was […]

Continue reading



Don’t Expect A No. 16 Seed To Win In The Women’s Tournament Ever Again

Looking back over the history of stunning first-round knockouts in the NCAA basketball tournaments, one stands out: In the 1998 women’s tournament, the top-seeded Stanford Cardinal fell to the slightly brighter-shaded but 16th-seeded Harvard Crimson. Now, 17 years later, that’s still the only 16 vs. 1 upset in the history of March Madness. That was […]

Continue reading



Why No. 5 Seeds Are Jinxed

If there’s one piece of folk wisdom that has emerged over the past decade or so of March Madness, it’s that No. 5 seeds are jinxed. SportsCenter did a whole story on the subject featuring Virginia Commonwealth University. In 2012, VCU was a No. 12 seed that pulled off a “shocking” upset against Wichita State. […]

Continue reading