The Denver Broncos and Carolina Panthers each entered Week 4 with a share of first place in their divisions and rising expectations for their seasons. Undefeated, both teams had started the season with a string of dominant defensive performances, and at the end of Week 3, each was ranked among the top three teams in […]
PUBLISHED OCT. 7, 2021, AT 6:00 AM 2021-22 NHL PredictionsUpdated after every game. STANDINGSGAMES REGULAR SEASON PLAYOFFS TEAM▲▼ DIVISION▲▼ ELO RATING▲▼ 1-WEEK CHANGE▲▼ PROJ. POINTS▲▼ PROJ. GOAL DIFF.▲▼ MAKE PLAYOFFS▲▼ MAKE CUP FINAL▲▼ WIN STANLEY CUP▲▼ Avalanche0 pts Central 1565 — 104 +40 87% 22% 12% Lightning0 pts Atlantic 1569 — 105 +41 86% 20% […]
References Hockey-Reference.com / Elo ratings / Autocorrelation / Monte Carlo simulations / Logistic regression / Poisson distribution The Details In 2021, we added hockey to the list of sports that FiveThirtyEight forecasts using the Elo rating system. To create Elo for the NHL, we used results from every game in league history dating back to […]
For years, readers have asked us to add NHL predictions to the host of forecasts we run here at FiveThirtyEight. And clearly, hockey’s absence wasn’t out of any aversion to the sport on our part — editor-in-chief Nate Silver, myself and many other writers here have been pretty obsessed with it, in fact. So after […]
One week after the Los Angeles Rams humbled the reigning Super Bowl champions, the Arizona Cardinals walked into SoFi Stadium and humbled the Rams. Four weeks after starting the season projected for the NFC West’s basement, the Cardinals stand undefeated atop the division (and the league). The Cardinals don’t look strong just because they happened […]