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Drew Brees Deserves Better Than The Saints’ Defense

Drew Brees is in a league of his own statistically. He has led the NFL in passing yards three years in a row and seven times as a Saint (no other player in history has hit that mark more than five times). He has topped 5,000 yards five times — all other quarterbacks in history […]

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How To Play Our NFL Predictions Game

For the past three years, FiveThirtyEight has assessed every NFL game and published forecasts showing the chance each team has to win based on Elo ratings, a simple system that estimates each team’s skill level using only the final scores and locations of each game. This year, we’re giving you the chance to play along […]

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How To Play Our NFL Predictions Game

For the past three years, FiveThirtyEight has assessed every NFL game and published forecasts showing the chance each team has to win based on Elo ratings, a simple system that estimates each team’s skill level using only the final scores and locations of each game. This year, we’re giving you the chance to play along […]

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Can You Beat FiveThirtyEight’s NFL Predictions?

Can you outsmart our forecasts? Make your picks using the sliders below. Our NFL forecasts are based on a simple algorithm called Elo ratings, which use only a few pieces of information to rate each team and project each game. But beware: We’re asking you to make a probabilistic forecast for each matchup — and […]

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Can You Beat FiveThirtyEight’s NFL Predictions?

Can you outsmart our forecasts? Make your picks using the sliders below. Our NFL forecasts are based on a simple algorithm called Elo ratings, which use only a few pieces of information to rate each team and project each game. But beware: We’re asking you to make a probabilistic forecast for each matchup — and […]

Continue reading