When Peyton Manning took the all-time passing crown in 2015, it felt like history was being rewritten in real time. Ever since Johnny Unitas took the throne in 1968, the coronation of a new passing king has been a generational event. It’s occurred an average of every 11.8 seasons, and each new king has raised […]
When Peyton Manning took the all-time passing crown in 2015, it felt like history was being rewritten in real time. Ever since Johnny Unitas took the throne in 1968, the coronation of a new passing king has been a generational event. It’s occurred an average of every 11.8 seasons, and each new king has raised […]
A good deal of FiveThirtyEight’s NFL coverage this season will use Elo ratings, a simple system that estimates each team’s skill level using only the final scores and locations of each game. As we’ve done in the past few years, we’re using those Elo ratings to calculate NFL predictions that include win probabilities and point […]
A good deal of FiveThirtyEight’s NFL coverage this season will use Elo ratings, a simple system that estimates each team’s skill level using only the final scores and locations of each game. As we’ve done in the past few years, we’re using those Elo ratings to calculate NFL predictions that include win probabilities and point […]
