Each week throughout the NFL season, we’ll be publishing Elo ratings for teams and using them to simulate the remainder of the season, and calculate each team’s chances of making the playoffs and winning the Super Bowl. Read about our methodology for details about how the system works. Elo ratings have been applied in many […]
Each week throughout the NFL season, we’ll be publishing Elo ratings for teams and using them to simulate the remainder of the season, and calculate each team’s chances of making the playoffs and winning the Super Bowl. Read about our methodology for details about how the system works. Elo ratings have been applied in many […]
NFL coaches can be obsessed with their teams’ run-pass balances. (In fact, each staff has an assistant coach who tracks the ratio of run plays to pass plays during a game.) Seattle Seahawks coach Pete Carroll once said his ideal ratio of runs to passes was 50-50. But passing becomes more necessary as teams trail […]
NFL coaches can be obsessed with their teams’ run-pass balances. (In fact, each staff has an assistant coach who tracks the ratio of run plays to pass plays during a game.) Seattle Seahawks coach Pete Carroll once said his ideal ratio of runs to passes was 50-50. But passing becomes more necessary as teams trail […]
FiveThirtyEight is running a series of eight NFL previews, one division at a time, to highlight the numbers that may influence each team’s season. America’s favorite weekly soap opera is about to begin; get prepped. Denver Broncos Expected wins (using implied power ratings from Las Vegas point spreads): 10.3 Playoff probability: 73 percent (56 percent […]
