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2014 NFL Preview: The Broncos vs. The Hopefuls

FiveThirtyEight is running a series of eight NFL previews, one division at a time, to highlight the numbers that may influence each team’s season. America’s favorite weekly soap opera is about to begin; get prepped. Denver Broncos Expected wins (using implied power ratings from Las Vegas point spreads): 10.3 Playoff probability: 73 percent (56 percent […]

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Why Tennis Players Don’t Take More Risks On Second Serves

If you’ve ever watched a tennis player dominate with the first serve but saw the second serve obliterated by the returner, you might have wondered: Why don’t more players go for it on their second serve? Wouldn’t they be better off treating their second opportunity to serve like their first one? The answer almost always […]

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Why Tennis Players Don’t Take More Risks On Second Serves

If you’ve ever watched a tennis player dominate with the first serve but saw the second serve obliterated by the returner, you might have wondered: Why don’t more players go for it on their second serve? Wouldn’t they be better off treating their second opportunity to serve like their first one? The answer almost always […]

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2014 NFL Preview: The AFC North Is Up For Grabs

FiveThirtyEight is running a series of eight NFL previews, one division at a time, to highlight the numbers that may influence each team’s season. America’s favorite weekly soap opera is about to begin; get prepped. Pittsburgh Steelers Expected wins (using implied power ratings from Las Vegas point spreads): 8.6 Playoff probability: 46 percent (30 percent […]

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2014 NFL Preview: The AFC North Is Up For Grabs

FiveThirtyEight is running a series of eight NFL previews, one division at a time, to highlight the numbers that may influence each team’s season. America’s favorite weekly soap opera is about to begin; get prepped. Pittsburgh Steelers Expected wins (using implied power ratings from Las Vegas point spreads): 8.6 Playoff probability: 46 percent (30 percent […]

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