It warms this writer’s baseball-loving heart to see the MLB standings finally beginning to fill in anew this spring. Yes, that’s with an emphasis on “beginning” — we’re only a week into the season, after all. The temptation is always to overanalyze these super-early results, since it’s all we’ve seen of the fun new rules, […]
Ever since we introduced a depth charts-based method for keeping track of NBA rosters in our NBA forecast model, one of its biggest recurring criticisms — from those outside the ranks of Boston Celtics haters, that is — has been that the playing-time projections are just off for certain teams and players. That’s fair: Though […]
Forecasts have always been a core part of FiveThirtyEight’s mission. They force us (and you) to think about the world probabilistically, rather than in absolutes. And making predictions — modeling a candidate’s chance of being elected or a team’s odds of making the playoffs — improves our understanding of the world by testing our knowledge […]
FiveThirtyEight shoes UPDATED 11:56 PM EST | MAR 5, 2017 2016-17 NBA Predictions Based on “CARM-Elo,” a mix of team Elo ratings and our CARMELO player projections. Updated after every game. More NBA: CARMELO projections | Every team’s Elo history shoes Games on Mar. 6, 2017 Win probabilityPoint spread Away team MIAMILNYCHIGSBKNINDPORHOUNOSACBOSXX Pre-game win probabilities […]
FiveThirtyEight shoes UPDATED 11:56 PM EST | MAR 5, 2017 2016-17 NBA Predictions Based on “CARM-Elo,” a mix of team Elo ratings and our CARMELO player projections. Updated after every game. More NBA: CARMELO projections | Every team’s Elo history shoes Games on Mar. 6, 2017 Win probabilityPoint spread Away team MIAMILNYCHIGSBKNINDPORHOUNOSACBOSXX Pre-game win probabilities […]
